Bill Gates talks about the onset of COVID-19 in the early days of the global outbreak at the American Association for the Advancement of Science meeting (GeekWire Photo / Todd Bishop)

Bill and Melinda Gates paint a stark picture of COVID-19’s impact on the world in a new report, saying the pandemic is undermining efforts to reduce poverty, hunger and illness, while setting back initiatives to improve education, economies and equity around the word.

But the problem could actually get worse, they warn, without a cooperative global response to the pandemic.

The Gates Foundation tracks the world’s progress against the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals in the annual “Goalkeepers” report. In recent years, all 18 measures of those goals were improving. But this year, Bill and Melinda Gates note, “on the vast majority, we’ve regressed.”

We’re in the middle of “a series of mutually exacerbating catastrophes,” they say, quoting from an article about the 1918 pandemic, and saying it fits our current situation.

“We cannot rebuild health systems, economic systems, educational systems, and food systems — to say nothing of making them better than they were when this year began — until the virus that is tearing them all down is under control,” they add.

“There is no such thing as a national solution to a global crisis,” they write. “All countries must work together to end the pandemic and begin rebuilding economies. The longer it takes us to realize that, the longer it will take (and the more it will cost) to get back on our feet.”

In an interview with Ina Fried of Axios, below, Melinda Gates called the numbers in the report “devastating.” For example, the report says extreme poverty has gone up by 7% in recent months, “ending a 20 year streak of progress,” citing data from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. An estimated 37 million additional people fell into extreme poverty, surviving on the equivalent of less than US$1.90 a day.

The Gates Foundation, World Health Organization, the European Commission and others in April launched the Access to COVID-19 Tools (ACT) Accelerator, with the goal of boosting development and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and therapies. The group is calling for an additional $35 billion in funding to support the equitable development and distribution of vaccines.

Overall, the Gates Foundation has committed more than $350 million in funding for COVID-19 initiatives, including vaccine development and distribution.

Bill Gates has been outspoken about the risks of COVID-19 and the need for a global response since the early days of the pandemic. He warned about the possibility of such an outbreak years ago.

The Goalkeepers report, released Monday night, cites research from Northeastern University indicating that almost twice as many people could die from COVID-19 if rich countries buy up the first 2 billion doses of vaccine rather than ensuring they are distributed in proportion to the world’s population.

Northeastern University research indicates a higher percentage of deaths globally if vaccines aren’t distributed equitably. (Gates Foundation Graphic)

Bill Gates went into more detail on a conference call with reporters, clarifying that he believes some consideration should be given to countries for funding vaccine initiatives.

“One positive thing is that the United States has done very substantial funding for the research and the trials,” Gates said. “In return for that, the idea that there is some capacity set aside, that prioritizes doses going to the United States, I don’t think that’s out of line.”

He added, “The one thing the United States has not done, as yet, that I’m very hopeful it will, is allocate substantial resources for the vaccine procurement and other drugs and diagnostics for the pandemic. If they would couple that with their funding of the R&D, and facilitate these vaccines being made in many factories, then you’d have the complete picture there.”

“So, no one is saying that there shouldn’t be any recognition of where the trials are done, where the R&D funding has come from, but the way to deal with this problem is to have that capacity be as large as possible.”

Like what you're reading? Subscribe to GeekWire's free newsletters to catch every headline

Job Listings on GeekWork

Find more jobs on GeekWork. Employers, post a job here.