wallstreet-shutterstock_92699377The Dow Jones is taking it on the chin today, dropping nearly 200 points as a stock market responds to weakness in emerging markets. But even with the pessimism on Wall Street this week, the stock market bulls were everywhere Thursday as top Seattle stock brokers gathered at the Metropolitan Grill for the 31st annual “Guess the Dow” competition.

All but one of the stock pros predicted that the Dow would end this year above the 2013 close, which came in at 16,576. (It is at about 16,000 today). One broker, Eric Brewe of RBC Wealth Management, even predicted that it would flirt with 20,000.

“I am a bull on America,” said Brewe, adding that there’s just “way too much cash on the sidelines.” And that corporate cash “will be the fuel for economic growth in 2014.”

Tech companies are especially cash rich, and that’s one of the reasons why Diane Daggat of McAdams Wright Ragen thinks the market will soar to 18,500 at the end of the year. Her top picks for the year in the Northwest included Concur, F5 Networks and Tableau.

Of course, all of this will be determined by the winner of the Super Bowl, right? The old theory goes that if a team from the NFC wins the Super Bowl, the markets will go up. That team, of course, is the Seattle Seahawks. No wonder that nine of the 10 stock pickers from Seattle picked the home. They are not only bulls, they’re Hawks too.

Here are the other predictions from the stock pickers, with their favorite stocks from the Northwest:

Jeffrey Atkin, KKRA

Dow close: 17,803

Top stock picks: Emeritus, Itron, Electro Scientific

Quote: “I am not afraid of the market, and I think being up five to six percent is reasonable.”


Eric Brewe, RBC Wealth Management

Dow close: 19,275

Top stock picks: Paccar, Tableau, RealNetworks

Quote: “I am a bull on America.”


Diane Daggat, McAdams Wright Ragen

Dow close: 18,500

Top stock picks: Concur, F5, Tableau

Quote: “The tech sector is especially attractive with lots of cash on their balance sheets.”


Shaun Dennehy, McAdams Wright Ragen

Dow close: 17,469

Top stock picks: Seattle Genetics, Blucora, Micron

Quote: “Continued low interest rates make equities the choice for investors.”


Joel Ferrell, Morgan Stanley

Dow close: 18,041

Top stock picks: Expeditors, Paccar, Nordstrom

Quote: “The headwinds of rising rates, Fed tapering, mid-term elections in the fall and increased geo-political strife will keep the equity market advance in check.”


Mary Ann Heeren, RBC Wealth Management

Dow close: 18,133

Top stock picks: Nanostring, Schnitzer Steel, Zulily

Quote:  “U.S. interest rates will rise, but not to levels that choke off our economic recovery.”


Matthew Kelleher, Morgan Stanley (Last year’s Dow winner)

Dow close: 18,100

Top stock picks: Columbia Banking; Alaska Air, Schnitzer Steel

Quote: “Market continues up as rates stay relatively low and earnings improve.”


Lynn Lindsay, Morgan Stanley

Dow close: 18,431

Top stock picks: T-Mobile, F5 Networks, Home Street Bank

Quote: “PE expansion and modest earnings growth (will) fuel this upward trend.”


Matt Rudolf, Summit Capital

Dow close: 16,999

Top stock picks: Resolute Forest Products, F5 Networks, Coeur d’Alene Mines Corp.

Quote: “I am a worrier by nature, and I lose sleep that we can’t decouple from the rest of the world.”


Bill Smead, Smead Capital Management

Dow close: 16,200 (only person to pick the Dow to go down this year).

Top stock picks: Nordstrom, Gannett, Washington Federal

Quote: “The U.S. economy and Northwest economy will be better than expected. Retail advertising and lending will do well.”

Comments

  • Ted Smith Sr

    Having worked with a few of these folks years ago, I would remind readers that “any” comment from the prognosticators is by its very nature self serving. If you buy; if you sell; or if you hold, they make money; LOTS of money.

  • http://www.extendedresults.com/ Patrick Husting

    If I was in the stock market business, I would be telling everyone “that this is the best time to be investing in stocks” and then short the heck out of them…

    • Guest

      Glad you’re so willing to admit you would commit fraud!

      • Yeah

        There’s nothing about the stock market that isn’t fraudulent.

      • http://www.extendedresults.com/ Patrick Husting

        Well, that is what they do right? I just called it out.

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